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Octosport probability calculator


Our scores probability calculator allows you to use the distribution of your choice to predict a match given the expected average goal rates of two teams.

When you pick Dixon-Coles or Bivariate Poisson a parameter RHO can be set. They change the distribution of scores.

  • Dixon-Coles: controls the strength of the correction of low-scoring scores. Common values are between 0 and -0.2.

  • Bivariate Poisson: represents the covariance between the two goal counts. Common values are between 0 and 1.

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